Poll workers sort ballots at The San Diego County Registrar of Voters on the eve of the US midterm election on November 7, 2022 in San Diego, California.
• In a vigorous closing argument ahead of the US midterm election, President Joe Biden warned Monday that a Republican victory could undermine the country's democratic institutions and undo much of his presidency.
The United States will go through a midterm election on November 8 at a very important time in world history. Global economic slowdown, Russo-Ukraine war, unrest in Iran etc., the world is currently looking at a turning point and a change in USA politics could give it a different turn.
In an emphatic closing argument ahead of the US midterm election, President Joe Biden warned on Monday that a Republican victory could undermine the country's democratic institutions and undo most of the achievements of his presidency. "Today we are facing an inflection point. We know in our bones that our democracy is at risk and we know this is your moment to defend it," Biden told the Bowie State, a historically black college outside Washington. Told an enthusiastic crowd at the university.
Nonpartisan election forecasters predicted that Republicans were likely to take about 25 seats in the 435-seat House of Representatives, more than enough to secure a majority. Analysts said Republicans could also grab a seat to gain control of the Senate.
Republicans have blamed Biden's administration for rising prices and crime, two of the top voter concerns. But dozens of candidates have also repeated baseless claims of fraud in former President Donald Trump's 2020 election defeat. Some of them could end up as governors or election administrators on the battlefield and play a central role in the 2024 presidential race.
early voter
The US Elections Project said on Monday that more than 42 million Americans have cast early ballots ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections, surpassing 2018's numbers.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are on the ballot, as well as 35 Senate seats, more than a third of the upper house. Votes will also be cast for the governors of dozens of states, as well as thousands of other county and state positions.
Most of the 50 US states allow voters to vote early, either in person or by mail, a practice that became widespread during the 2020 presidential election, held at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. .
As of Monday, more than 19.3 early votes have been cast in person and 22.7 million by mail, for a total of 42.03 million, according to the US Elections Project.
Republican lawmakers have raised technical objections to early voting in several states where elections could be closer. In Pennsylvania, for example, the state Supreme Court has ruled that mail-in votes cannot be counted if they do not have a written date on the envelope – a decision that could potentially affect thousands of ballots. Is.
In Wisconsin, absentee votes can be thrown out if the witness's address—which is required by the state to seal a ballot envelope—is incomplete.
Former Republican President Donald Trump alleged last week that voters in the key state of Pennsylvania were sent "unverified" ballots, a claim rejected by state election officials.
Trump also made false claims of electoral fraud after losing to Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, which has been echoed by many members of his Republican Party.
Meanwhile, Trump traveled to Ohio to campaign with Republican Senate nominee JD Vance. He has indicated repeatedly that he plans to start another presidential race soon. Despite delivering on campaign promises to promote infrastructure and clean energy, many Americans have soured under Biden's leadership. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Monday, only 39 percent of people approve of their work performance.
Biden's unpopularity has made him an unwanted guest in most competitive races. On Monday, he spoke reliably in Democratic Maryland, where Democratic gubernatorial candidate Wes Moore is widely expected to win back the Republican-held governorship.
If Republicans win the House or Senate, it would be the end of Biden's efforts to get abortion protection, family leave benefits and other Democratic priorities through Congress. It would also open the door to a two-year investigation led by Republicans that could potentially damage the White House. The Republican-led Senate could also block Biden's nomination for judicial or administrative positions.
Billionaire Elon Musk, whose buyout of Twitter and vows to rein in who can say what on the platform, has sparked some speculation that it could spark a wave of propaganda, tweeting Monday that "The Independent Ideological voters" should vote. Republican Congress "because shared power curbs the worst excesses of both parties."
If Republicans secure a House majority, they plan to use the federal debt limit as leverage to demand deeper spending cuts. They will also seek to make Trump's 2017 personal tax cut permanent and defend the corporate tax cut, which Democrats have unsuccessfully tried to reverse over the past two years.
Control of Capitol Hill would give Republicans the power to block aid to Ukraine, but they are more likely to slow or reduce the flow of arms and economic aid to Kyiv than to stop it.
when will the result come
The first wave of votes is expected on the east coast between 7 pm. and 8 p.m. ET (0000-0100 GMT Wednesday, Nov. 9). An early sign of Republican success may come when races expected to be close -- such as Virginia's 7th congressional district or the US Senate seat in North Carolina -- have a Democratic route.
By around 10 p.m. or 11 p.m. ET, when elections in the Midwest close for an hour or more, it's likely Republicans will have enough momentum to project control of the House to experts in American media organizations. , said Kyle Kondick, a political analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Virginia. Politics.
If the fight for the House still looks close as votes begin to roll in from the West Coast - where there could be more than a dozen tight House races - it could be days before the Chamber takes control, experts said.
California typically takes weeks to count all of its ballots, as it counts postmarked ballots on Election Day, even if they arrived a few days later. Nevada and Washington states also allow late ballots if postmarked by November 8, slowing the march until final results.
"If the House is really on edge, it will matter," Kondik said.
It may take longer, perhaps weeks more, to know which party will control the Senate, with close competition in Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia likely to determine final control.
If the Georgia Senate race goes as expected and no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, a run-off election will be scheduled for December 6, possibly leaving control of the Chamber in limbo.
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