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Yields and shares rise as the market expects Powell's policy statement.

 Yields and shares rise as the market expects Powell's policy statement.


Europe's stock markets saw a sharp increase, while the main US indexes saw minimal movement as some Federal Reserve members said on November 7 that more rate rises may be necessary if inflation doesn't drop to the US central bank's objective of 2%.


Yields and shares rise as the market expects Powell's policy statement.

On November 9, expectations that the main central banks will soon stop raising interest rates caused global share markets and Treasury yields to slightly rise. However, investors were also looking to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for indications on when monetary policy may ease.


Europe's stock markets saw a sharp increase, while the main US indexes saw minimal movement as some Federal Reserve members said on November 7 that more rate rises may be necessary if inflation doesn't drop to the US central bank's objective of 2%.


As investors tried to determine whether a slowing economy would slip into recession, they were more uneasy about when the Fed may begin loosening financial conditions, which contributed to the dollar's decline and the increase in gold.


According to data, the number of Americans submitting new claims for unemployment benefits decreased last week, indicating that layoffs are still rare despite signals of a softening labor market.


Matt Miskin, co-chief investment researcher at John Hancock Investment Management, which is headquartered in Boston, said that the market is still operating under the old thesis that bad news is good news and is still riding high on last week's dovish Powell press conference.


Early claims for unemployment were few. As long as that's the case, stock prices will continue to fluctuate, he added. It implies that we're not yet in a recession.


It's challenging because negative economic news always turns out to be negative news. Additionally, the stock market often does not do well when the Fed makes cutbacks."


Powell's speech was slated to begin at 2:00 PM ET/1900 GMT.


The pan-European STOXX 600 index increased 0.87%, while MSCI's global stock index gained 0.28%.


On Wall Street, however, the Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.14%, the S&P 500 gained 0.07%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0%.


As they unwound swings downward from the previous session, Treasury rates increased. The dollar and US government bond rates fell last week as investors saw Powell adopting a more dovish stance after the Fed's two-day meeting. The Fed is likely to remain on hold, as supported by Friday's employment figures, which were softer than anticipated.


The yield on the two-year note, which tracks interest rate expectations, increased by 2.5 basis points (bps) to 4.961%, while the yield on the 10-year note increased by 4.7 bps to 4.555%.


The benchmark 10-year borrowing rate in Germany increased by 3.5 basis points (bps) to 2.648% on November 8, from a two-month low of 2.606%.


Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset administration Luca Paolini said, "I think price increases is yesterday's story," adding that the "big question" at this point was whether the US economy will see a significant slowdown in the next months.


He said, "We are bullish on bonds." "We think this is at the start of a long and positive move."


Asia's Nikkei rose 1.5% as a result of strong profits from Casio, a watch and calculator company, and Nintendo, the developer of Super Mario, as well as widespread advances in the oil industry.


However, China's problems in the real estate industry have returned, with the major Hong Kong listed real estate index falling 4% and the struggling property behemoth Country Garden plunging over 10% as its chances of being saved were dashed.


October inflation data from China likewise indicated a 0.1% decrease from September and a 0.2% year-over-year dip, suggesting that demand in the second-biggest economy in the world is still frail.


At 150.97 yen, the dollar remained unchanged while the euro saw a tiny increase to $1.0713. At 105.46, the dollar index—which measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of key trade partners' currencies—saw a 0.03% decrease.


On November 9, the benchmark price of Brent crude oil was trading over $80 per barrel. The previous week's selloff was caused by worries about supply and a declining war-risk premium.


US crude increased 1.12% to $76.17 a barrel, while Brent saw a day-over-day increase of 1.31% to $80.58.


"We tend to forget one month ago every person was panicking about the news that was coming from the region's southeast, but look at where the oil price is now," Pictet's Paolini remarked. "The markets are cynical."


The dollar eased, and gold increased.


An ounce of spot gold increased by 0.7% to $1,962.43.



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