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US inflation is generally declining, which is encouraging for the Fed

 US inflation is generally declining, which is encouraging for the Fed


October saw a general slowdown in U.S. inflation, which is positive news for the Federal Reserve's long-term efforts to ease pricing pressures.


The increase in motor vehicle insurance, entertainment, and rentals is reflected in the progress of important metrics.


Tuesday's data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed a 0.2% increase from September in the so-called core consumer price index, which does not include energy and food expenditures. The core gauge is seen by economists as a more accurate representation of underlying inflation than the CPI as a whole. Because fuel was so cheap, this initiative stalled.


From a 40-year peak last year, inflation has mostly decreased, although a few increases in recent months. Due to this, a number of Fed members have hinted that they may increase interest rates; nonetheless, Chairman Jerome Powell has emphasized time and time again that the Fed may raise rates once more if necessary.


Treasury rates sharply down and stock futures increased as traders determined that another rate rise in December was unlikely. In addition, he wagered that, in June rather than July prior to the report, the Fed will lower rates for the first time.


The increase in motor vehicle insurance, entertainment, and rentals is reflected in the progress of important metrics. The government's revised methodology for determining health insurance premiums, which increased 1.1% in September, also had a role.


About one-third of the CPI index is comprised of housing costs, which increased by 0.3% this month—half as fast as they did the previous one. According to economists, maintaining this range of moderation will be essential to lowering core inflation back down to the Fed's objective. In addition to rentals, one important indicator has decreased: hotel stays.


According to estimations by Bloomberg, services prices increased 0.2% from September and 3.7% from a year ago, excluding housing and energy. This is the lowest level of increases in over two years. Powell and his colleagues compute this measure using a different index, but they have emphasized the significance of using it when evaluating a nation's inflation trend.



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