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Why do small- and mid-cap stocks fare well in the holiday season? MintGenie clarifies

 Why do small- and mid-cap stocks fare well in the holiday season? MintGenie clarifies


Many times, both domestic and international economic factors may be seen reflected in the stock market. In recent months, changes in the global economy have had a significant influence on the Indian stock market, which has shown a distinctive dance. Both extremes of the pendulum have swung: from excitement to prudence. In all of this, one striking finding is that the larger markets—that is, the mid- and small-cap indices in particular—have proven remarkably resilient to worldwide market downturns, regularly outperforming the benchmark Nifty index's gains.


Let's go into history. Almost all Nifty, small-cap, and mid-cap stocks have shown upward momentum during the holidays of Ganesh Chaturthi and Christmas, which fall between August and December. Over the last four years, this upward trend has been steady. This joyous omen is not only a happy accident; rather, it is a consistent trend that astute investors should take note of.


Conventional financial wisdom often promotes frontline index stocks as the safe havens. They provide a consistent production in addition to stability. The winds of change, nevertheless, are blowing. With yields that often outpace those of their bigger, more established rivals, the midcap and small-cap sectors are not just emerging as challengers but frequently emerging as winners in the post-pandemic age. Their abrupt ascent to prominence highlights their crucial role in steering the market's epic rebound.


What is driving this mid-cap surge, then? Strong financial inflows into the business sector and wise, well-thought-out government budgetary measures have been essential. The atmosphere is full with hope because of these tailwinds. Particularly early-stage businesses benefit greatly from these tailwinds and often outpace the growth trajectories of their more established rivals.


All is not perfect, however. One of the mainstays of the frontline indexes, the banking industry, is navigating uncharted territory. There are several difficulties, such as the shifting interest rates brought on by the RBI's changing policies and the threat of growing non-performing assets in the post-pandemic environment. A sector on edge is created when you combine this with the disruptive emergence of fintech, ever-tightening regulations, and external wildcards like geopolitical turmoil impacting oil prices.


As the holiday season approaches, certain industries are more noticeable than others. Car, FMCG, construction materials, paints, and consumer durables are among the industries that not only survive but flourish. The expectation of a sales bonanza during these periods drives stock prices and therefore the performance of the whole market, particularly when compared to benchmark indexes.


But a word of caution is necessary. Respect is due to the dual nature of midcaps, which provide both the possibility of steep sell-offs and tantalizing profits. A keen eye for stocks and sectors is essential to realizing their full potential. The larger mutual fund industry or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that mimic benchmark indexes provide a safer haven for people who find this intimidating.


There is a bright side to the recent market declines, especially in the mid- and small-cap sectors. They provide astute, long-term investors many chances to expand their holdings. Such quick corrections serve as a warning to buy high-quality equities at attractive prices, particularly on the eve of holidays like Diwali.


It's important to keep in mind that many market downturns have their origins in foreign events, whether they be geopolitical conflicts such as the Israel-Hamas controversy, changes in US bond rates, or the complex global dance of crude oil prices. These externalities impact the market, but they also provide astute investors signals to add value to their holdings.


In conclusion, the midcap arena is not something to be taken lightly. It offers an exciting roller coaster journey with respectable downsides in between thrilling highs. Therefore, a balanced approach that carefully balances front-line stalwarts with the prospective energy of midcap companies is the best course of action. In times of market turbulence, this combination may provide both excitement and a safety net.

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