Cyclone Tej has alerted Mumbai! IMD issues a cyclone warning for the Arabian Sea. When is it anticipated to occur?

 Cyclone Tej has alerted Mumbai! IMD issues a cyclone warning for the Arabian Sea. When is it anticipated to occur?

Mumbai is under hurricane watch! A likely cyclonic storm that is anticipated to form in the Arabian Sea has prompted the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to issue a warning about potential weather changes in Maharashtra city. 

In the next 48 hours, a low-pressure region is predicted to form over the southeast and adjacent east-central Arabian Sea, according to the IMD's weather bulletin on Monday.

Due to increased water temperatures, October to December is one of the best times for cyclone formation in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea.

According to a system used for naming cyclones in the Indian Ocean, if a tropical storm develops in the Indian Seas, it will be given the name "Tej."

"In the early hours of October 18, a low-pressure region developed over the Southeast and adjacent East Central Arabian Sea. Around October 21st, it will strengthen and travel west-northwestward, the weather service announced on X (formerly Twitter).

The likelihood of the system developing into a cyclonic storm at this time is not very high.

During the post-monsoon season of 2022, no tropical storms developed over the Arabian Sea, but two tropical storms, Sitrang and Mandous, did.

According to Skymet Weather, cyclones in the Arabian Sea have a history of having erratic paths and timing.

The favored paths of the cyclones after they are over the center of the Arabian Sea are towards Somalia, the Gulf of Aden, Yemen, and Oman. However, in rare occasions, these cyclones do a U-turn and move closer to the coastlines of Pakistan and Gujarat, according to Skymet.

Mumbai, however, saw its highest-ever October temperature on Wednesday, reaching a maximum of 36.4 degrees Celsius.

The weather forecasting organization said that the Santacruz observatory of the IMD, which monitors temperature and other meteorological indicators for Mumbai's suburbs, had recorded a 36.4 degree Celsius temperature. 

The IMD stated that the greatest temperature recorded at the Colaba observatory, which monitors temperature and other meteorological factors for the island city, was 33.2 degrees Celsius.